Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.058825 0.063685 0.068598 0.073928 0.079541 0.085268 0.091547
2025-02-16 0.053174 0.060510 0.068173 0.076748 0.086049 0.095804 0.106782
2025-02-23 0.045176 0.053949 0.063408 0.074300 0.086434 0.099475 0.114489
2025-03-02 0.039744 0.049617 0.060570 0.073507 0.088257 0.104440 0.123427
2025-03-09 0.035439 0.046129 0.058305 0.073023 0.090152 0.109288 0.132108
2025-03-16 0.033419 0.045074 0.058650 0.075375 0.095170 0.117605 0.144705
2025-03-23 0.031153 0.043506 0.058209 0.076653 0.098827 0.124296 0.155425
2025-03-30 0.029019 0.041913 0.057579 0.077571 0.101957 0.130313 0.165340
2025-04-06 0.026602 0.039774 0.056119 0.077336 0.103591 0.134487 0.173048
2025-04-13 0.025360 0.039049 0.056340 0.079104 0.107609 0.141478 0.184103
2025-04-20 0.023176 0.036926 0.054651 0.078364 0.108450 0.144585 0.190477
2025-04-27 0.021652 0.035587 0.053883 0.078711 0.110580 0.149216 0.198670
2025-05-04 0.020573 0.034832 0.053882 0.080078 0.114063 0.155618 0.209190
2025-05-11 0.020173 0.035008 0.055111 0.083058 0.119629 0.164652 0.223025
2025-05-18 0.017830 0.032230 0.052207 0.080470 0.117968 0.164635 0.225684
2025-05-25 0.016282 0.030517 0.050677 0.079631 0.118500 0.167318 0.231661
2025-06-01 0.014969 0.029070 0.049439 0.079119 0.119406 0.170440 0.238173
2025-06-08 0.014663 0.029162 0.050386 0.081606 0.124291 0.178662 0.251148
2025-06-15 0.014047 0.028720 0.050529 0.082956 0.127655 0.184948 0.261713
2025-06-22 0.013368 0.028129 0.050418 0.083926 0.130498 0.190567 0.271456
2025-06-29 0.012412 0.027017 0.049479 0.083678 0.131661 0.193991 0.278400
2025-07-06 0.012062 0.026902 0.050025 0.085546 0.135713 0.201201 0.290236
2025-07-13 0.011086 0.025643 0.048769 0.084764 0.136090 0.203573 0.295836